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    Saudi Arabia’s Air Power Dilemma: F-15EX, Eurofighter, and Rafale Vie for Lucrative Defense Contract

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    As Saudi Arabia pursues an ambitious modernization of its air force fleet, a significant procurement decision looms, pitting three of the world’s premier 4.5 generation fighters—the F-15EX, Eurofighter Typhoon, and Rafale—in a high-stakes competition. With the U.S. F-35 Lightning II off the table amid geopolitical considerations, the Kingdom’s focus has shifted to these advanced yet less politically encumbered aircraft.

    In light of evolving regional security dynamics, Saudi Arabia, a longstanding operator of the F-15, finds Boeing’s F-15EX Eagle II an attractive option. The latest iteration of the venerable fighter jet boasts an impressive payload capacity and extended range capabilities, thanks in part to its conformal fuel tanks. Moreover, the aircraft’s ability to integrate seamlessly into existing infrastructures, coupled with a successful missile test demonstrating its superior air-to-air missile carrying capacity, reinforces its appeal.

    Boeing’s marketing efforts have not been subtle, with the US Ambassador to Saudi Arabia, Michael Ratney, featuring in a well-publicized stint inside an F-15EX simulator—a symbolic display of the deep-rooted U.S.-Saudi military partnership. The F-15EX’s compatibility with a variety of long-range weapons, including JASSM-ERs, provides an additional edge in satisfying the Royal Saudi Air Force’s (RSAF) strategic requirements.

    The Kingdom’s existing fleet of F-15SAs and the upgraded F-15SR (Saudi Retrofit) models suggest a predisposition towards continuity and familiarity, which may favor Boeing’s bid.

    However, European contenders vie equally for Riyadh’s favor. The Eurofighter consortium, led by Airbus, has been persistent, buoyed by a recent lifting of restrictions by Germany that had previously stemmed potential sales due to human rights concerns. Airbus remains optimistic, as demonstrated by the recent Eurofighter Economic Impact Assessment report, which hints at potential sales within partner and exporting nations—Saudi Arabia being an implicit contender.

    France’s Dassault has made significant inroads with its Rafale fighter. A deal for these aircraft would mark a strategic diversification of Saudi Arabia’s air capabilities. The Rafale, having already made a significant impact in the Middle Eastern market, offers an alternative in capability and political alignment, potentially allowing Saudi Arabia to hedge against overreliance on a single supplier.

    Saudi Arabia’s air force modernization strategy reflects a broader regional trend towards fleet diversification, as evidenced by Qatar’s procurement approach. It remains to be seen if the Kingdom will follow suit by incorporating Rafales into its existing fleet of F-15SA and Eurofighter Typhoons.

    Relevant articles:
    F-15EX ‘Dogfights’ Eurofighter, Rafale Aircraft For Big, Fat Saudi Deal; Can Boeing Outdo Airbus & Dassault? , EurAsian Times, 05/05/2024
    Saudi Arabia Interested in Purchasing the F-15EX, Israeldefense.co.il, 05/05/2024
    Defeated By Russian EW Jamming, US OKs Package To Make Ukrainian JDAM-ER Smart Bombs ‘Smarter’, EurAsian Times, 05/05/2024

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